Saturday, February 3, 2007

An Apple too far from the Tree

Related

"And they complain about a boycott?"
---
Wednesday, January 31, 2007

An Apple too far from the Tree for Ben Gurion University?

WAS Professor Arens too far from tree, or is BGU too close to Israeli government; and NATO?

More on our item concerning Yigal Arens, the Israeli-born professor to whom organisers of a conference at the Ben Gurion University decided to rescind an invitation, in case his presence embarassed government officials attending.
("And they complain about a boycott", Saturday January 27
http://randompottins.blogspot.com/2007/01/and-they-complain-about-boycott.html

This is from the leading Israeli daily, Ha'Aretz:
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/819173.html

Ha'aretz, Mon., January 29
Arens and the tree

By Akiva Eldar

Professor Yigal Arens fell very far from the tree. The son of a former defense minister and head of the Likud, he went so far to the left that a respected university in Israel cancelled his participation in a scientific conference. Dr. Bracha Shapira of Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, one of the organizers of the conference, has stated that the organizers have chosen to remain silent.

Arens, who immigrated many years ago to California, heads two centers that deal with information systems on matters of intelligence, the war against terror and digital government. At the beginning of January a colleague, an American professor, invited him to participate in a working group that will convene this coming summer at Ben-Gurion University. The conference, which is funded by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), will deal with the role played by the Internet in terror and its prevention.

The colleague said that the organizers, and among them Shapira, would be very glad if Arens accepted the invitation.Five days later, before Arens replied to the invitation, his American colleague informed him that he should forget the whole thing. He related that the Israeli organizers had told him that government personnel who had been invited to the meeting would not feel comfortable in his presence. Arens sent an e-mail to Shapira and asked that she explain the withdrawal of the invitation. She replied that his American colleague had "exceeded his authority in extending the invitation without full consultation with the conference organizers."

According to Arens, the organizers had been aware initially of his political background.(*) They learned about it from his American colleague who wanted to make certain, at Arens' request, that they would spare him any unpleasantness, which according to him had been his lot at previous conferences in Israel.

The organizers of a conference at an academic institution that benefits from public monies do not believe it is the public's right to know whether there is anything of substance in the grave suspicion that a scientists' political opinions disqualify him from entering their gates. Arens, in fact, concealed nothing. For many years he has supported two states for two peoples, but today he fears "that a two-state solution is no longer practically possible."

Arens believes that Israel should be a state for all its citizens, supports the right of return for Palestinian refugees and is opposed to any form of discrimination among citizens on the basis of their ethnic or religious background.

© Copyright 2007 Haaretz. All rights reserved§§§§§§§§§§

Yigal Arens comments on the differences between this report and the Hebrew original
http://www.haaretz.co.il/hasite/pages/ShArtPE.jhtml?itemNo=819318&contrassID=2&subContrassID=2&sbSubContrassID=0

The Hebrew version unnecessarily embellishes my resume a bit. That wasn't included in the English translation. I haven't written any books on the subject, although I participated in writing a study on a related topic (the use of IT in disaster management), and have co-authored a workshop report on responding to "unexpected events". There are other mostly minor differences between the English and Hebrew versions, the most significant being that the English one says I believe the organizers *were* originally aware of my politics, while the Hebrew one correctly states that I believe they were *not*.

WHAT HAPPENS WHEN A VILLAGE IS DIVIDED BY A WALL?

U.K. Channel 4 Video

Events in Bil'in

Bimkom is the social justice group mentioned in the report.

Still No Habeas Rights for You

Despite assurances from the major U.S. news media that American citizens retain their habeas corpus rights to a fair trial – even if non-citizens don’t – Justice Department lawyers have reasserted their claim that George W. Bush has the power to lock up anyone he chooses as an “enemy combatant” and effectively throw away the key.

“A citizen, no less than an alien, can be an enemy combatant,” administration lawyer David B. Salmons told a federal appeals court in Richmond, Virginia, on Feb. 1, adding that on such issues, the courts cannot interfere with the President’s wartime judgments.

Salmons did pledge that the Executive Branch will use care in deciding who is designated an “enemy combatant.” In response to one judge’s question about the President applying the tag to an activist from the People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals, Salmons joked, “the representative of PETA can sleep well at night.”

Nevertheless, Salmons argued that the judgment on who is deemed an “enemy combatant” is solely the discretion of President Bush. [NYT, Feb. 2, 2007]

Salmons presented his arguments in the case of Ali al-Marri, a citizen of Qatar who was arrested in Peoria, Illinois, in 2001 while studying on a student visa. The administration asserted that Marri was an al-Qaeda “sleeper cell” agent, declared him an “enemy combatant” and locked him up at a Navy brig in South Carolina.

Marri has challenged his indefinite detention through a federal court suit. However, Bush’s lawyers are citing the Military Commissions Act of 2006, which was passed in the final weeks of the Republican-controlled Congress and denies “unlawful enemy combatants” access to civilian courts.

After Bush signed the law on Oct. 17, 2006, the New York Times criticized the law’s denial of fundamental rights to non-citizens but assured U.S. citizens that the draconian system did not affect them.

“This law does not apply to American citizens,” the Times editorial stated, “but it does apply to other legal United States residents. And it chips away at the foundations of the judicial system in ways that all Americans should find threatening.” [NYT, Oct. 19, 2006]

Yet, while the Times is correct that the law explicitly denies habeas corpus and other rights to non-citizens, other sections of the law seem to apply to U.S. citizens as well, putting citizens inside the same tribunal system with resident aliens and foreigners.

Any person is punishable as a principal under this chapter who commits an offense punishable by this chapter, or aids, abets, counsels, commands, or procures its commission,” according to the law.

Another clause states that “Any person subject to this chapter who, in breach of an allegiance or duty to the United States, knowingly and intentionally aids an enemy of the United States ... shall be punished as a military commission may direct.”

Who has “an allegiance or duty to the United States” if not an American citizen? That provision would not presumably apply to Osama bin Laden or al-Qaeda, nor would it apply generally to foreign citizens. This section of the law appears to be singling out American citizens.

Court-Stripping

Besides allowing for “any person” to go into Bush’s tribunal system, the law prohibits detainees once inside the system from appealing to the traditional American courts until a defendant is fully prosecuted and sentenced, which could translate into an indefinite imprisonment since there are no timetables for Bush’s tribunal process to play out.

The law states that once a person is detained, “no court, justice, or judge shall have jurisdiction to hear or consider any claim or cause of action whatsoever … relating to the prosecution, trial, or judgment of a military commission under this chapter, including challenges to the lawfulness of procedures of military commissions.”

That court-stripping provision – barring “any claim or cause of action whatsoever” – would seem to deny American citizens habeas corpus rights just as it does for non-citizens. If a person can’t file a motion with a court, he can’t assert any constitutional rights, including habeas corpus.

Other constitutional protections in the Bill of Rights – such as a speedy trial, the right to reasonable bail and the ban on “cruel and unusual punishment” – would seem to be beyond an American detainee’s reach as well.

Though the New York Times believes the new law “chips away at the foundations of the judicial system,” the law actually seems to obliterate the old judicial system, especially if Bush were to apply the designation “enemy combatant” to large numbers of Americans.

Attorney Salmons contended that Bush is not interested in taking such a step at this point. But what might Bush do if, for instance, he expands the war in the Middle East and his actions are met with widespread civil disturbances? Could American citizens challenging the President’s war policies be deemed “enemy combatants” and detained?

Under the Bush administration’s theories – and the language of the Military Commissions Act – U.S. citizens presumably could be locked up along with non-citizens due to the catch-all provisions about aiding “an enemy of the United States.”

At the Marri hearing, Bush's lawyers appear to have been caught a bit off guard by the aggressive questioning from two of the three judges on the appeals court panel.

The two judges who asked probing questions – Roger L. Gregory and Diana Gribbon Motz – were appointed by President Bill Clinton. The third judge, Henry Hudson, was named to the bench by President George W. Bush.

In the random selection of the judges, Bush might have encountered some bad luck because the Richmond appeals court is heavily dominated by Republican appointees and tends to churn out opinions favorable to Bush’s positions.
However, even if a majority of the three-judge panel rules against Bush, the Justice Department could ask the full appeals court to reverse the ruling.

No ‘Unalienable Rights’

The department’s arguments in the Marri case are the latest evidence of the Bush administration’s disdain for the concept of “unalienable rights” as enunciated by the Founders in the U.S. Constitution and the Bill of Rights.

As explained by administration’s lawyers, Bush’s view is that for the duration of the “war on terror,” the Commander in Chief can exercise his “plenary” – or unlimited – powers. That means in effect that he can waive laws that he dislikes and ignore constitutional rights that get in his way.

Also, since the “war on terror” will go on indefinitely and since the “battlefield” is everywhere, Bush is asserting the President’s right to do whatever he wants to whomever he wants wherever the person might be, virtually forever.

The administration’s contempt for habeas corpus and other fundamental rights was reflected again in a strange colloquy between Attorney General Alberto Gonzales and Sen. Arlen Specter during a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing on Jan. 18.

Gonzales argued that the Constitution doesn’t explicitly bestow habeas corpus rights; that it merely says when the so-called Great Writ can be suspended.

“There is no expressed grant of habeas in the Constitution; there’s a prohibition against taking it away,” Gonzales said.

Gonzales’s remark left Specter, the committee’s ranking Republican, stammering.

“Wait a minute,” Specter interjected. “The Constitution says you can’t take it away except in case of rebellion or invasion. Doesn’t that mean you have the right of habeas corpus unless there’s a rebellion or invasion?”

Gonzales continued, “The Constitution doesn’t say every individual in the United States or citizen is hereby granted or assured the right of habeas corpus. It doesn’t say that. It simply says the right shall not be suspended” except in cases of rebellion or invasion.

“You may be treading on your interdiction of violating common sense,” Specter said.

While Gonzales’s statement has a measure of quibbling precision to it, his logic is troubling because it suggests that many fundamental rights that Americans hold dear don’t exist because the Constitution often spells out rights in the negative by barring the government from intruding on them.

For instance, the First Amendment declares that “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press, or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”

Applying Gonzales’s reasoning, one could argue that the First Amendment doesn’t explicitly say Americans have the right to worship as they choose, speak as they wish or assemble peacefully. The amendment simply bars the government, i.e. Congress, from passing laws that impinge on these rights.

Similarly, Article I, Section 9, of the Constitution states that “the privilege of the Writ of Habeas Corpus shall not be suspended, unless when in Cases of Rebellion or Invasion the public Safety may require it.”

The clear meaning of the clause, as interpreted for more than two centuries, is that the Founders recognized the long-established English law principle of habeas corpus, which guarantees people the right of due process, such as formal charges and a fair trial.

That Attorney General Gonzales would express such an extraordinary opinion, doubting the constitutional protection of habeas corpus, suggests either a sophomoric mind or an unwillingness to respect this well-established right, one that the Founders considered so important that they embedded it in the text of the Constitution.

Gonzales also may be wrong in another way about the lack of specificity in the Constitution’s granting of habeas corpus rights. Many of the legal features attributed to habeas corpus are delineated in a positive way in the Sixth Amendment, which reads:

“In all criminal prosecutions, the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district wherein the crime shall have been committed … and to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation; to be confronted with the witnesses against him; [and] to have compulsory process for obtaining witnesses.”

Gonzales’s Jan. 18 statement suggested that he is still searching for arguments to make habeas corpus optional, subordinate to the President’s executive powers that Bush’s neoconservative legal advisers claim are virtually unlimited during “a time of war.”

The Justice Department’s arguments in the Marri case underscore that Bush still sees himself as a modern-day version of the absolute monarch who gets to decide which rights and freedoms his subjects can enjoy and which ones will be denied.

Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories in the 1980s for the Associated Press and Newsweek. His latest book, Secrecy & Privilege: Rise of the Bush Dynasty from Watergate to Iraq, can be ordered at secrecyandprivilege.com. It's also available at Amazon.com, as is his 1999 book, Lost History: Contras, Cocaine, the Press & 'Project Truth.'

Proposed ban on lawmakers’ lobbyist-funded trips has exceptions

By DANIEL FRIEDMAN
February 01, 2007

The House and Senate have each approved measures to ban lobbyist-funded travel for lawmakers and their staffs. But the new restrictions would still allow privately financed travel in some scenarios.

The travel rules, along with bans on lobbyist-bought gifts, new disclosure requirements for earmarks and other measures, form sweeping ethics reform packages intended to reduce lobbyists’ ability to use money to influence Congress.

But some organizations hoping to sway lawmakers still would be able pay for congressional travel under the two measures.

Nonprofit organizations that do not pay lobbyists yet still advocate for policies would not be banned from funding travel for lawmakers and their staffs.

And both the House and Senate measures would still permit travel funded by nonprofits affiliated with lobbying organizations. That means that groups such as the American Israel Education Foundation, an offshoot of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), can continue paying for lawmakers’ trips to Israel. AIPAC, along with other groups, has long paid for legislators to travel to Israel on educational trips intended to increase support for Israeli policies.
Universities may not be affected

The House-approved measure also would exempt private universities, some of which employ lobbyists, from restrictions on paying for congressional travel. And groups that pay lobbyists would still be able to fund one-day trips for House members to visit a site, give a speech, attend a forum or sit on a panel.

Jim Clarke, senior vice president for public policy at the American Society of Association Executives (ASAE), which represents trade societies and philanthropic organizations, said the group is pleased that its members can still support some educational trips. ASAE has argued that a ban on outside-funded travel would outlaw legitimate fact-finding trips.

Many aspects of the travel restrictions are not final. Under both reform packages, the ethics committees in each chamber must pre-approve travel funded by outside groups. Those committees are still working out details of that process.

The House Ethics Committee has not finished guidelines governing issues such as how close the connection between the trip and official duties must be and what constitutes an unreasonable expenditure on a privately funded trip.

House rules take effect March 1

The House package, because it is a rules change rather than legislation, will automatically take effect March 1. The Senate bill, by contrast, needs House passage of companion legislation and the president’s signature to become law. House Democrats are expected to introduce a bill containing new ethics rules in coming months.

The House and Senate could either reconcile their ethics reforms or operate under distinct rules.
E-mail: dfriedman@federaltimes.com

Why are so few oxen independent?

"Original thought was always in danger of being suffocated by the collective, and his sense of the dangers of group thinking and the behavior of men en masse echoed Tocqueville's earlier doubts about democracy."

Editor's Note: Think while it's still legal.

Murray Waas: Libby trial, weekend edition

Saturday, February 03, 2007

Libby trial, weekend edition:

Patrick Fitzgerald, that most secretive and discrete of federal prosecutors, did something very un-Patrick Fitzgerald-esque late last week, that went largely unnoticed except by an AP reporter and the Huffington Post:

Fitzgerald sought permission from the federal judge hearing the Libby case, Reggie Walton, to release audio tapes of Libby's grand jury testimony to the media: to be broadcast, posted on the Internet, YouTube, or wherever else. That would surely change the dynamic of public attention to the case. CNN, MSNBC, and Fox would probably endlessly play portions of the tapes, and the public would be able to hear Libby's testimony first-hand.

Small portions of Libby being questioned before the grand jury by prosecutors have already been played inside the courtroom for jurors, the press, and public. And having heard them-- in the courtroom setting-- I would say that they are fairly dramatic. (Here is perhaps the most detailed report to date about what went on inside the grand jury room.)

Libby's attorneys have for the obvious reasons opposed this idea, and Judge Walton will probably rule on their motion probably sometime Monday morning.

I don't like to predict, even while blogging, but most legal experts doub that the grand jury tapes will be made public, and Walton's comments from the bench indicated that he has not been exactly enthralled with the idea of the tapes being played 24/7 on the cable networks and Internet. But Walton is an unpredictable jurist, and a careful stickler to case law, so perhaps it is best to just await his decision to find out what it might be.

In the meantime, below is the entire text of the Associated Press story about all of this:

WASHINGTON -- Former White House aide I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby is fighting to keep his grand jury testimony about the leak of a CIA operative's name from being released and broadcast in the media.

Libby's grand jury testimony _ the sworn statements he gave to investigators about his conversations with Vice President Dick Cheney and journalists _ is at the heart of his perjury trial. Special Prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald plans to play hours of recordings of that testimony in court next week to bolster his case that Libby lied and obstructed the investigation.

Trial evidence is normally public and all exhibits in Libby's case have been made public so far. Even though Fitzgerald successfully fought to get Libby's full grand jury testimony admitted into evidence, Libby's attorneys say the audiotapes should not be released outside the courtroom.

Libby defense attorney William Jeffress, who successfully argued a Supreme Court case that kept the Watergate tapes from being released, said in court Thursday that grand jury tapes are never meant to be made public.

He said he knew of no case when such recordings have been released.

In the tapes, Libby discusses conversations he had regarding CIA operative Valerie Plame, the wife of a prominent Iraq war critic. Plame's identity was leaked to reporters in 2003.

Nobody was charged with the leak. Fitzgerald said Libby learned Plame's identity from Cheney and discussed it with journalists. Libby says he forgot about his conversation with Cheney and, when he heard about Plame from a reporter weeks later, it struck him as new information.

Fitzgerald says Libby concocted that story to protect himself from prosecution because repeating rumors from reporters is less serious than repeating sensitive information from Cheney.

If the tapes are released, they could be broadcast on television news programs, radio stations and the Internet. U.S. District Judge Reggie B. Walton said he worried that would sensationalize an already public trial.

Attorneys for The Associated Press and a dozen other news organizations said they would challenge any effort to seal the tapes. Court papers were to be filed Friday afternoon. Walton said he would consider the matter over the weekend.

Libby's Approximate Date

February 03, 2007

by emptywheel

emptywheel@earthlink.net

Us_v_libby_gx104_plame_cp As astute readers have noted, there is a key detail from the note Libby wrote in June 2003 recording the information Cheney had just passed along, that Plame worked in the Counter-Proliferation Department of the CIA.

The day recorded in the date was changed. And it has a squiggly line indicating an approximation.

This suggests the possibility that Libby changed the date to make it less incriminating. And that he added the squiggly line to further obscure the date. Which of course leads me to suspect that the date might have real significance.

Now, before I lay out four scenarios explaining the sensitivity of the date, let me just say--it gets worse. You see, Libby admitted to the FBI that this was dated after the fact (and somewhere, though I can't find it, someone admits that the day was changed).

DB On the note 6/12/03, line on top, meant approximately. Regarding an article by Pincus. Written for newspaper on June 12, he believed he talked about this note prior to that. He had written the date afterwards, within a couple of days, couldn't remember precisely when.

Z He dated it afterwards. He told you what about when.

DB A day or two before 6/12

Z What did he tell you VP told him

DB Libby told us that VP told him that AMb's wife worked in CP division. Libby explained that CP stood for Counter Proliferation.

Z Did Libby tell you where he tought VP learned this.

DB Yes–VP told him he received it from someone at CIA. He believed VP had learned it from Tenet. However he was not certain if it was Tenet or someone else.

So right now, we're trusting Scooter Libby to tell us when he dated this note--and that he dated it accurately. Also note (I'll come back to this) Libby was apparently none too sure about the source of this information--whether it was Tenet who passed on the information or someone else.

The Chronology as We Know It

Though the chronology on this is fuzzy, here's what we know of the ways in which Libby allegedly learned of Plame's ID.

May 29: At one of two Deputies meetings both attended, Libby asks Grossman about the Wilson trip. Grossman asks Armitage (who knows nothing), then asks Kansteiner and Ford, who know it was Joe. Grossman asked for a report. Then he told Armitage, asked for permission to call Joe. He called Joe, got his side of the trip. Then he called Libby with an interim report.

May 30-June 9: Grossman overseas.

June 10, 5:25 PM: Bill Harlow calls OVP Office of Public Affairs (:30 minutes)

June 10, 6:21 PM: Bill Harlow calls OVP Office of Public Affairs (4:24 minutes); One possible time when Harlow tells Martin of Plame.

Late June 10 or 11: Grossman receives INR memo.

June 11, 12:00-12:45: First possible time that Grossman tells Libby of Plame's role at one of three Deputies meetings.

June 11, 1:15: Libby calls Grenier for more information on Wilson. This is the first time Libby has called Grenier.

June 11, shortly after 1:15: Grenier calls back to Libby, who uses Wilson's name and sounds aggrieved.

June 11, afternoon: Grenier calls "Kevin," the Deputy Chief of the Joint Task Force on Iraq (JTFI). Kevin is unavailable. Grenier speaks to someone in the unit he doesn't know.

June 11, 2:37: Cathie Martin emails Jenny Mayfield to get time with Libby on Wilson stuff.

June 11, around 4:00: Someone "fully knowledgeable" at JTFI calls Grenier back, tells him that Plame worked in unit that had sent Wilson. Also says State and Defense had been very interested in the Niger intelligence.

June 11, before 4:15: Grenier tries to call Libby to relay this information, but can't get in touch with him before his 4:15 meeting with DCI.

June 11, 4:15-5:00?: Grenier is pulled out of a meeting with DCI to respond to Libby call. Grenier calls Libby back and tells him CIA sent Wilson, Plame worked in unit, and State and Defense were also interested in Niger intelligence. Grenier had never been pulled out of a meeting with DCI before. Libby asks if CIA will release news that State and Defense were also interested in the information. Libby and Grenier set up Harlow and someone named Cathie to arrange a CIA statement.

June 11, 5:27 PM: Bill Harlow calls OVP Office of Public Affairs (5:18); One likely time when Harlow tells Martin of Plame.

June 12: Pincus article

June 12, 12:00-1:30: Second possible time that Grossman tells Libby of Plame's role at CIA. (Note, Libby may have thanked Grenier for his information at the Iraq Deputies meeting, the 12:45-1:30 meeting.)

June 14, 7:00-7:40 AM: Libby asks CIA briefer Craig Schmall, " Why was the Amb told this was VP office question? Joe Wilson Valerie Wilson."

Before I get into my four scenarios, let me point out two things. First, the scenario that Libby's lawyers would like to argue--that Martin found out from Harlow on June 11 and then told Libby--doesn't necessarily hold up. They used her email to Jenny Mayfield to support this point, but her email, sent at 2:37 PM, was sent several hours before she purportedly spoke to Harlow at 5:27 PM. Which makes it possible she learned of Plame on June 10, and the next day got time with Libby to share that news. But then the Harlow call could not have been a response to Grenier, which clearly took place on June 11. But if Libby found out from Martin early on June 11, it might mean the Grenier call was a response to Martin's news.

Also, we know there was some harassment of the CIA, since three days after Libby spoke to Grenier, he asked Craig Schmall some of the same questions that Grenier had already answered. Therefore, we can't assume that, just because Libby already "knew" of something, he wouldn't keep asking the same damn questions.

Okay, here's the transcription of Libby's note recording his conversation with Cheney.

Us_v_libby_gx104t_transcribed_plame_cp_1

Scenario One: Dick Informs Libby Before the Grossman or Martin Inform Libby

One possibility is that, before Libby learned of Plame's identity through Grossman, Grenier, and Martin, he learned it from Cheney through a CIA channel he's not entirely forthcoming about. This is, IMO, the least likely scenario, mostly because of the spacing of Libby's note. The date is tightly spaced and if the day originally had the same spacing as the other two numbers, then it is probable that it was originally a double-digit number. Though of course, we're assuming that Libby wrote the date honestly to start with.

The one thing supporting this theory, strongly, is the reference to Nicholas Kristof--this appears to be a response to Kristof's May 6 column, not preparation for Pincus (as it would be if it were written in June). Also, the note, "hold, get agency to answer that," suggests it has not yet done so--placing the conversation before Martin's presumed June 11 conversation with Bill Harlow.

If this scenario were true (which I doubt), then it would suggest Cheney and Libby knew of Plame's identity well before they "learned" it in June. One other interesting thing--it would suggest that OVP already knew that this trip happened at its behest, well before it told journalists the opposite.

Scenario Two: Dick Informs Libby on June 10 or 11

This seems to be the default assumption--and would mean Libby's correction of the date was just that--an honest correction. This is, IMO, the only way bullet 4 makes sense--if Dick told Libby to get the CIA to say that Defense and State had been interested in the Niger question as well, at which point, while Pincus was still working on his June 12 story, Libby tried frantically to get CIA to back this statement.

But it would mean Libby knew everything Grenier was going to tell him when he dragged Grenier out of his meeting with DCI on June 11--that he basically just pulled him out of the meeting and led him into admitting this bit. Likewise, it would mean he already knew about Plame when Martin told him that news, presumably also on June 11. Effectively, Libby would have gotten Plame's ID source through two channels outside of the Vice President after he already knew it.

Scenario Three: Dick Informs Libby on June 12, 13, or 14

In this scenario, Dick would have learned of Plame from Libby via Martin, Grossman, and Grenier--and gone to find out more information, then reported back to Libby. This is where the supposition that Tenet was Cheney's source gets more interesting--particularly since Tenet has denied this news. Did Cheney go to someone more reliable to find out about Plame, someone like Fred Fleitz? In this scenario, the reference to Kristof might be a reference to Kristof's second column on the Niger claims, which came out on June 13, one day after Pincus' article. And it might explain why, on June 14, Libby was bitching to Craig Schmall, as if he believed CIA had not stated forcefully enough that State and Defense were also interested in this intelligence.

Scenario Four: Dick Informs Libby on June 15 or 18

This is the scenario that I find most interesting--that several days after Libby learned of Plame's ID from everyone and their mother, Dick came back to him with the critical detail about Plame, that she worked in CPD. The biggest detail supporting this claim is just the document itself--it looks like the number Libby may have overwritten could be a 5 or an 8 (see the loop below the bottom of the 2). Everything I said about scenario three would still hold. But it'd be interesting for two more reasons.

First, it would make it a lot less plausible that Libby forgot about Plame on July 10 or 8, since it would put his last knowledge of Plame later in June (and just a week or so before he spoke to Judy). It would effectively show a continuity of knowledge of Plame's ID, making the whole Russert story even less plausible. If it weren't implausible enough already.

Also, we know that the The New Republic article on this appeared on June 19, at which point Eric Edelman (who, we've learned, was involved in responding to Kristof in early May) asked Libby if they should start leaking info on Wilson to rebut the critics. Libby tells him there are problems with that that he can't explain on a non-secure line. In other words, if Libby and Cheney had this conversation at a later date, it makes it much more likely he was responding to Cheney's news when he told Edelman they couldn't leak this info. It would make it much more likely that Cheney made it crystal clear that Plame was covert.

Anyway, I'm not sure which it was, but Libby's dating of the note seems less than trustworthy, and there are numerous possibilities given that fact.